Chris Hipkins has demonstrated many skills since he became Prime Minister unexpectedly just over four months ago. However, successfully managing his Ministers has not been one of them.
So
far, he has had to sack one Minister for repeated breaches of the Cabinet rules
on conflict of interest; censure one for an inappropriate speech to Radio New
Zealand; watch another be summoned before the Privileges Committee on a charge
of contempt of Parliament (which may yet involve him as well); and, have one
Minister walk out on him altogether to join another party. Now, he has had to
stand down one of his closest lieutenants for failing to disclose a
shareholding that he had previously acknowledged conflicted with his portfolio
responsibilities and that he had promised to sell but had not yet done so.
Together,
they contribute to a growing air of slackness about the Hipkins government and
the way it operates. Usually, when these types of circumstance occur it is a
sure sign of a government having run its course and being ripe for replacement
at the next election. With just four months to go until that next election it
is going to become increasingly difficult for Hipkins to fend off the taint now
entrenching, even if there are no further damaging incidents to emerge.
The
situation surrounding Wood is especially dumbfounding, as he was regarded as
one of the government’s less risky pairs of hands. His excuse was the same one
both Nash and Tinetti fell back on when their lapses were made public – namely,
personal oversight for which they were deeply sorry. It all looked a little contrived.
That
is especially so in Wood’s case. After all, he was warned a staggering 12 times
by the Cabinet Office that he needed to dispose of his Auckland Airport shares.
His explanation that the shares were in a trust, and he thought they had been
disposed of, but had been too busy to confirm, is weak and defies belief.
The
compounding factor here is his wife’s situation. She is also in public life as
an Auckland City Councillor and is facing similar allegations of conflict of
interest over shares. Her initial explanation for her failure to disclose was
even more unbelievable than her husband’s – she claimed she did not know she
was a beneficiary of the trust bearing her name that held the shares.
Now,
how Wood and his wife manage their personal financial affairs is their business.
However, their explanations so far for the potential conflicts of interest that
have arisen are far from convincing. Taken together, they leave the suspicion
that the full story may be yet to come, something that was exercising Hipkins’
mind when he stood Wood down from the Transport portfolio, pending further
inquiries; and Wood selling his Auckland Airport shares.
But,
National’s calls for Wood’s dismissal were premature, although more recent
reports about decisions he made restricting expansion at North Shore Airport while
still holding his Auckland Airport shares may change that. What has been
revealed so far is a Minister basking in the reflection of being considered
highly competent when he was anything but in the management of his personal
affairs. Being caught out this way is certainly personally embarrassing. His
hitherto perceived competence is clearly overstated but is not by itself a
sufficient reason for his dismissal altogether. Clear evidence the North Shore
decision was influenced by his Auckland Airport shareholding would change that.
In
any case, the issue is now much bigger for Hipkins than the circumstances of
Wood’s failure to get rid of some shares. Given the previous Ministerial crises
of the last four months, Hipkins’ own credibility is firmly on the line. After
all, he appointed each one of them, and has initially backed them, only to be
let down as their wider stories have unfolded.
The
fact he has seemed blindsided in each case where a Minister’s shortcomings have
been revealed compounds his problems. Each case has raised its own questions
about his management style and the performance of his own office. In Wood’s
case, the Prime Minister’s Office was aware of the situation for some days
before informing the Prime Minister. As Prime Minister he should be the first
to know about such things, not the last.
Hipkins’
problem is that what momentum he has been able to establish has been slowed by
these now regular Ministerial crises. He looks less and less a determined Prime
Minister leading his country through a cost-of-living crisis than one trying
desperately to plaster over cracks in a disintegrating government.
From
the public perspective the precise details of each case are less relevant than
the overall impression they create. Wood’s shares or Tinetti’s answers to
questions in the House run second to the perception of incompetent Ministers ignoring
the rules. Reversing that impression is now a far bigger challenge for Hipkins
than correcting the failings of his errant Ministers.
But
while a severe body-blow, the Wood affair is not yet terminal for the
government. Wood needs to dispose of his Auckland Airport shares immediately
and without fuss. Any further delay or obfuscation will make his position as a
Minister untenable, which should be incentive enough for him to now act
swiftly.
However,
although that would resolve Wood’s immediate situation, it will not remove the
stain on his reputation, or more importantly, the taint now engulfing the whole
government. The more Hipkins is forced to defend the lax conduct of Ministers who
do not seem to know the rules of their jobs, the more he will be dragged down
with them.
The
last thing Hipkins will want is to spend the next four months fighting off
allegations of incompetent Ministers who follow the rules only when it suits.
However, as things stand, that is looking more and more likely.
Not
a good position from which to fight an election campaign.
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