The call by
Te Pāti Māori co-leader Rawiri Waititi to pay Māori a pension from the age of
57 should not be dismissed out of hand. He is right to draw attention to the
fact that on average Māori die earlier, and therefore have less time to enjoy a
quality retirement. In terms of equity, he also has a point, given that the New
Zealand Superannuation Scheme is a taxpayer funded, “pay as you go” scheme, meaning
that Māori who do not live as long in retirement are effectively short-changed
on the taxpayer contribution they have made over their working years.
A similar
argument can also be made in respect of other groups, like manual workers for
example, who on average do not enjoy the same post-65 life span as others.
However, the problem with setting a blanket age limit – like Waititi’s
suggestion of 57 for Māori, or 65 for the general population for that matter –
is that not everyone’s circumstances are the same. So, what would be a decided
benefit for some, would have little impact for others and would therefore not
be a particularly helpful or well-targeted intervention.
But that does
not detract from the relevance of Waititi’s call or mean it should just be
swept under the carpet as too difficult to address. Fortunately, there is
another way of resolving the problem he has raised.
Some years
ago, I suggested the concept of variable New Zealand Superannuation
arrangements, or Flexisuper as it became known. It was designed to address
fairly the issues Waititi is concerned about today, by giving people choices
over when they took up New Zealand Superannuation.
Under
Flexisuper, a person would have the option of choosing to receive New Zealand
Superannuation from the age of 60 at a lower rate from the normal rate. In
practical terms, that would mean about 66% for life of the rate payable to
those who chose to wait until 65 to take up their entitlement. For those with a
likely shorter life span this would mean they would be able to choose to
collect a reasonable pension from the age of 60 for whatever years are left to
them, whereas currently they are entitled to nothing until and unless they
reach 65. Under Flexisuper, someone choosing not to uplift New Zealand
Superannuation until the age of 70 or above would receive a higher rate.
Flexisuper could
therefore be close to cost neutral – those opting for 60 would be effectively
offset by those deferring until age 70 – which would peg current superannuation
expenditure at roughly current levels. This would make New Zealand
Superannuation not only financially sustainable into the future but would also
mean that there would be no need to lift the standard age of entitlement beyond
65.
Flexisuper
would not be means tested, nor affect any private pension arrangements or
eligibility for Kiwisaver pay-outs at the age of 65 for those who were members
of that scheme. Its great advantage is that it gives people the opportunity to
plan their retirement lifestyles according to their needs and circumstances,
without the arbitrary intervention of the state.
Consistent
with confidence and supply agreement provisions, the National-led government
released a discussion paper on Flexisuper in 2013 and invited public
submissions. These showed strong support for and understanding of the idea, and
separate polling at the same time showed that Flexisuper was nearly twice as
popular with the public as other options like raising the age of entitlement or
bringing back means or asset testing.
Unfortunately,
National declined to go any further. It was worried about the impact a choice-based
scheme might have on universality, especially for those who chose the 60 option
but lived on well after the age of 65. In any case, National was more
interested in reducing the overall cost of New Zealand Superannuation than
notions of flexibility or equity.
Its answer to
the affordability question was to propose a gradual upwards shift over the
twenty years to 2037 in the eligibility age to 67. But that did nothing to
address the plight of the under 65s seeking to leave the workforce early. Of the other parties, only Te Pāti Māori
showed any interest in the idea at that time, for pretty much the same reasons
as Waititi is advancing today.
But the issue
is not going to go away. Demographic projections suggest the proportion of
Māori and Pasifika will rise steadily to almost 30% of the population by 2038.
Because the mortality gap with Pakeha looks likely to remain about the same as
now, the problem Waititi is drawing attention to will be escalated – more Māori
and Pasifika coming to the end of their working lives but still dying earlier
than Pakeha.
At the same
time, as the population reaches 6 million or more by 2040, the sustainability
of the present New Zealand Superannuation Scheme will be severely tested.
Lifespans are expected to be increasing steadily (the gap with Māori and
Pasifika notwithstanding) meaning a higher proportion of New Zealanders than
ever before will be eligible for New Zealand Superannuation.
Labour now
seems to be joining National in acknowledging that this may mean an upwards
adjustment of the age of entitlement at some future point to maintain universal
superannuation. While gradually raising the age of entitlement seems standard
practice among OECD countries, it is still an overly heavy reliance on a single
tool that will do little to address some of the wider social and demographic
issues now emerging. Those in their 30s and 40s now are unlikely to appreciate
being told that while they will continue to “pay as you go”, their future
entitlements are likely to be arbitrarily capped by the state.
In planning
their futures, people want to have some control over the circumstances they are
likely to face. This applies whether they be Māori whom Waititi is properly
concerned about, Pasifika, those approaching retirement, or those early in or
near the middle of their working careers. FlexiSuper could be a step towards
giving all of them greater flexibility and options in planning for their
retirement. It therefore deserves fresh consideration. Rawiri Waititi’s call
provides a timely opportunity to rekindle that discussion.
There is a major problem with the scheme as with all the others advocating discrimination on the basis of race - who is a Maori? Is it someone who self-identifies as one, is it someone on the Maori roll? Are their political views relevant, as many of the iwi elites don't want to recognise Simon Bridges or David Seymour as Maori?
ReplyDeleteThere is also a hidden equity issue. As you write, the scheme is taxpayer funded. But only a small percentage of the population are net payers. Many of the Maori Waititi claims to speak for have had more out of the system than the tax they have paid - they aren't taxpayers. I am not advocating private accounts but think there should be a near complete degree of universality in the scheme. Your idea of allowing early retirement at a lower rate has a lot of merit. Allowing distinction on the basis of "ethnicity" does not.