Taiwan and New Zealand are two
small island states with much in common.
Both are vibrant, independent
democracies, living in the shadow of an overbearing neighbour. (Admittedly,
Taiwan’s overbearing neighbour has far more aggressive tendencies than our
at-times overbearing neighbour!) There is a strong free trade agreement between
the two countries and a growing cultural link based on DNA evidence that
Taiwan’s indigenous people and Māori share a common ancestry.
And both New and Zealand and Taiwan
lie on the Pacific Ring of Fire – the horseshoe shaped zone around the Pacific
Ocean which the United States Geological Service has described as “the most seismically and volcanically
active zone in the world.” This week’s devastating 7.4 magnitude earthquake,
with many powerful aftershocks already, is the latest and largest in a long
line of major earthquakes in Taiwan over the last 25 years. As we know all too
well, earthquakes are also a common feature of life in New Zealand, with major
earthquakes here in Christchurch in 2010 and 2011, Seddon in 2013, and Kaikoura
in 2016.
But sadly, here is where
the comparison with Taiwan stops. Whereas New Zealand authorities have talked
long and hard about earthquake preparedness, particularly since Christchurch, Taiwan
has made the structural changes necessary to ensure it is well prepared to face
earthquakes in the future. That explains why the death toll from this week’s
earthquake is likely to remain low overall, even as more deaths become known.
Given Taiwan’s population density – 23 million people living on an island the
size of the province of Otago – that is a remarkable achievement.
Indeed, the biggest
criticism so far of Taiwan’s high level of preparedness was that the national
text messaging system which warns of arriving earthquakes failed to accurately
measure the intensity of this week’s quake. A similar system, developed by GNS
New Zealand is at a much more embryonic stage, and not as sophisticated as the
Taiwan model.
Taiwan’s preparedness is
considered amongst the most advanced in the world. It is central government
led, through the Disaster Prevention and Protection Act, which established two
national centres to oversee earthquake response co-ordination and training. It
includes strict, regularly updated, building codes for new and existing
buildings, with subsidies available to people to check building resilience.
Penalties for non-compliance are also strict, with culpable building owners and
construction personnel liable to imprisonment.
A world class seismological network has been established and there are
regular public education campaigns and drills in schools.
By comparison, the New
Zealand response looks well-meaning, but essentially vague and languid. Our
National Emergency Management system is still feeble at best, as the recent
independent Bush report into the response to Cyclone Gabrielle’s impact on
Hawkes Bay has shown. More than a decade after the collapse of the CTV building
in Christchurch with the loss of 115 lives, and despite the critical findings
of the Commission of Inquiry, no-one has yet been taken to Court over the building’s
failure because the Crown Law Office has overruled efforts by the Police,
various lawyers, and experts to do so. Councils around the country continue to
find it difficult to require building owners to comply with stricter earthquake
standards, and there is no support available to help bring buildings up to
standard, or to help people find out if the buildings they live or work in are
sufficiently resilient.
GNS has a good system for
recording earthquakes and their intensity, but much more work needs to be done
on establishing effective early warning systems. Public education programmes
are occasional and patchy, although there do appear to be regular exercises and
drills in schools. Transport corridors remain vulnerable, as last years’ upper
North Island cyclones highlighted in various areas.
Within hours of the 2011
Christchurch earthquake, Taiwan was able to assemble and dispatch its
specialist ready response unit to assist in the recovery. There is no
equivalent body in New Zealand, with our emergency response in such situations
left in the hands of our remarkable, but still under resourced, volunteer
firefighters who have become our predominant frontline response service in so
many areas, from road accidents to medical emergencies, to natural disasters.
Taiwan and New Zealand
both know that earthquakes are a part of life in our respective countries. They
strike swiftly and catastrophically. They cannot be prevented, but their
impacts can be mitigated. Taiwan’s history means it understands how important comprehensive
community resilience and recovery is, and that only it can establish that for
itself. As in so many other areas of its national life, Taiwan has faced up to
the responsibility of doing so and has just got on with it.
In contrast, New Zealand
still has too much of the “must get around to that someday” approach. Yet, for
both New Zealand and Taiwan, one unfortunate certainty is that both will suffer
more large and damaging earthquakes in the future. Another is that Taiwan will
continue to be the better prepared.
No comments:
Post a Comment